Market outlook for the week 16-20January

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Whole week the market have shown roller coaster rides & confusing the retail trader to take the right decision. You all have to admit that everything has been the opposite of what all the retail traders expected. In coming days also, the manipulators will try to maintain this kind of movement in markets. So you can expect some wild swings to shake out the bulls and squeeze the bears to happen before the final sharp movement takes place. Remember, the gangsters don’t want to have to pay out any money to the option holders..... both calls and puts. Manipulators have the ability to keep markets up for as long as they want to. It seems they have an unlimited supply of Viagra, and nothing is going to stop them from continuing to push it up higher. They are in the driver’s seat right now, and it’s going to crash only when they are ready.

Read the facts provided for knowledge & use your own wisdom to trade in this market. 

In last few days we have seen some roller coaster rides in markets. On friday also the bears regained the ball the last hour of the day, after an early fumble at the open. In the end around closing bell, the bears took the ball back and regained some of that lost yard by holding below 4918 level & crashing down to 4850 from 4917.  It’s about time! But the question arises is that, till how long the bears will able to hold the ball?? The answer in current scenario seems to be, VERY LESS TIME if they are not able to break 4740 in early trades!! Till the bulls are able to keep Nifty fut above 4740 mark on closing basis, bulls are mightier than bears & crossover above 4935 will confirm this. But overall, we just have the feeling that the direction isn’t going to be straight! Meaning, we are looking for some choppy action in markets, to lure in some bulls and shakeout some bears.  If we get that big move up early in the week, then it could sell off into the last days of the week. If it’s strong all week then wait until Friday to see if it looks ready to roll over.  We know we are close to a short term top, but we can’t pick it exactly. These coming few weeks could be few of those weeks that puts in a final top followed by a sharp bear action, as we never know what bad news they could release over the weekend? Remember, most crashes are on Friday and Monday...... just food for thought. 

Whats going to happen in markets? Whether bulls or the bears will get the next high dose of viagra? No one knows for sure of course, but everything we see now is pointing to some really unexpected movement to come within next couple of months. Trading in the stock market is nothing more then gambling, with the added benefit of being able to increase one's odds of winning by piecing together technical analysis, politics, and just good old fashion “gut” feelings and of course manipulation, corruption, lying, stealing, and cheating by the stock market crooks. Every move is planned out months and years in advance.  

Now moving forward for coming days, the bears need to gap this thing down below support 4810-4740, or the bulls are going to stage another massive murder of them. If bulls are able to hold the markets above 4740 level (as this level is the hope for bulls on downside), then surely bulls are having an upper hand. But moving onto the higher side bulls have barrier at 4918 level, if they are able to cross this barrier then they will inch higher upto 4955-4998-5024-5127. Above 4918-4955, Moving on to higher side  5024 will be the next hurdle for bulls, and an extra adrenaline rush would be needed to cross it. Contrary to this bull side, if bears are able to restrict the bulls from marching higher & pull the markets down below 4810, then we can see selling coming in markets & Nifty fut showing levels of 4740-4680-4590, breakbelow 4590 will be an enery booster for bears for yet another mass butchering of bulls.. However the bears will be having a tough fight with bulls in lower levels around 4740. Bears have to work hard to break the support 4740 on closing basis, in order to save themselves from getting butchered by the bulls once again. Overall immediate range for the markets for this week looks like 4740-4955, & a broader range of 4590-5024. All upside above 5024 (if comes)  in markets is the “offloading zone” we believe. A range bound market is likely to continue for few weeks. It’s up to us to figure it out of course, but never forget to expect the unexpected..... Read the facts provided for knowledge & use your own wisdom to trade in this market. 

Commodity Alert

• Gold till trading below  27840 level its weak & can slide towards lower support levels of 27440-27345-27100 . All long position holders must stay cautious, as next round of bull run will start once it decisively crosses/closes above 27840 level.
• Silver support 51940, decisive breakbelow/close below this level will energise bears for next attack & this time it can crash down to 51400-50800-50045 & more down levels. Upside hurdle at 53555, bulls need to cross this hurdle to njoy next party.
• Crude Oil till trading below 5190 level, its looking weak for tgt-5045-4980 & more. 
• Natural Gas weak below 143, consecutive close below this level will invite bears for a massive party till 135-124 & more down levels.

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